yaser hoseini
Volume 6, Issue 21 , March 2020, , Pages 87-107
Abstract
1-IntroductionFlood discharge is of high importance in studies regarding water resource exploitation, flood control, construction of dams, basin management, and hydrologic studies (Alzahrani et al, 2017). Therefore, to a large extent the accuracy of these studies and the safety of water constructions ...
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1-IntroductionFlood discharge is of high importance in studies regarding water resource exploitation, flood control, construction of dams, basin management, and hydrologic studies (Alzahrani et al, 2017). Therefore, to a large extent the accuracy of these studies and the safety of water constructions depend on flood study methods. Flood is a natural phenomenon that threatens the life and properties of a large number of people all over the world, and it is impossible to manage water resources in basins without the accurate determination of the peak flood discharge (Badri et al, 2017). The advances in flood estimation techniques have made it possible to use rainfall-runoff models to assess the hydrographic properties of the flood in watersheds and decrease the risks of the flood. Therefore, this study was carried out to compare the SCS unit hydrograph and Uniform methods in determining the peak flood discharge with WMS model in Amughin basin of Ardabil province.2-MethodologyAmughin basin with an area of approximately 78 km2 is located in the northwest of Iran. The physiographic features were extracted using the basin map (scale: 1:25000) and WMS model. This study applied Arc GIS 9.2 and Idrisi32 software to obtain the properties of the studied basin using DEM (Digital Elevation Map) of the National Cartographic Center, NCC. Remote sensing methodology was utilized to study the geographical land use changes occurred during the study period. Landsat images of TM and ETM+ of Amughin basin area were collected from the USGS Earth Explorer web site. After image preprocessing, un-supervised and supervised image classification were performed to classify the images into different land use categories. In general, soil hydrologic groups were divided into three subgroups of B, C, and D and CN value of 78.7 was estimated for the Amughin basin based on the geological examination, permeability, vegetation, and hydrologic conditions of the basin soil.3-ResultsThe model calibration results showed that the simulated peak discharge and flow volume were in good correspondence with the observed values (RE%= 7.17, RMSE= 0.44). Thus, the calibration results were used for optimum values of parameters. The model was validated using two rainfall events and the model performance indices were acceptable in both cases (RE%= 2.51, RMSE= 0.0042) in SCS method. To evaluate and test model validation, two rainfall events, were used. That the model performance indices were acceptable. Distribution of CN amount in the area showed that the upstream flow had higher CN values and consequently increased flood volume in these areas. Based on the values of obtained CN, the amount of peak flood discharge was calculated for return periods of 25, 50, and 100 years.4-Discussion and conclusionAccording to the results, the SCS model has good agreement with experimental results among the different methods used for estimating flood discharge in the northwest of Iran. In fact, this model requires calibration in the study region. In small watersheds in the northwest of Iran, the SCS model yields better results than the Uniform method because the conditions required for using this model are satisfied in these basins. Moreover, the results obtained from this method can be closer to actual values provided that the watershed concentration time is calculated more accurately. Our results also showed that the SCS model has a high sensitivity to rainfall distribution across the region and that the rainfall across the region needs to be analyzed to obtain desirable results. Besides, the rainfall distribution and its time distribution should be close to the corresponding values in the region. A comparison between the obtained results of peak discharge from the SCS and Uniform methods in return periods of 25, 50, and 100 years revealed that the average estimates of the Uniform were approximately 5% higher than the SCS method. According to paired T-test, the difference between Uniform and SCS values were not significant at a confidence level of 0.01. Overall, the results obtained from this method can be closer to actual values if the watershed lag time is calculated more accurately using the floods occurred in the studied basin.
Meysam Yari; Somayeh Soltani-Gerdefaramarzi; Mohsen Ghasemi; Rouhollah Taghizadeh
Volume 6, Issue 21 , March 2020, , Pages 203-225
Abstract
1-Introduction Given the growing population and the increasing need for food, water and soil conservation are of great value. In the context of conservation of soil and water resources, information on the amount of runoff production and erosion to achieve sustainable development is the basis for planning ...
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1-Introduction Given the growing population and the increasing need for food, water and soil conservation are of great value. In the context of conservation of soil and water resources, information on the amount of runoff production and erosion to achieve sustainable development is the basis for planning and decision making. Therefore, careful investigation of surface runoff and floods is an important and key step in planning and managing optimal water resources. One of the factors affecting the characteristics of surface runoff is land-use changes at different basin levels (Melesse and Shih, 2002). Land use is influenced by two components of human needs and environmental processes. Inaccurate land-use changes will disrupt the water cycle from natural equilibrium, resulting in devastating floods, including economic damage, loss of life, loss of water, and consequently reduced water resources (Jakeman et al., 2005). During the last two decades, the Qhareh-su watershed, particularly its downstream, has been experiencing rapid growth in the construction and expansion of residential structures. Human activities and changes in the basin have affected the natural arrangement of stream processes that transmit water and sediment from upstream to downstream. Human interventions are one of the major hazardous issues in this basin that causes changes in the pattern of surface currents and natural conditions of the catchments and encroachment on rivers and streams. In this regard, the present study aimed to investigate the role of land-use change on runoff in a part of Qhareh-su watershed in Ardebil province over a period of almost 20 years due to the availability of information and access to satellite images of different time periods. 2-Methodology The study area consists of a part of Qhareh-su watershed located in Ardabil province with an area of 2162.6283 km2. The minimum and maximum elevation of the mentioned watershed are 1280 and 3829 m respectively, and its average slope is 11.57%. Land use in this area often includes dry and irrigated agriculture, pasture, forest, and residential areas. The aim of the current research is to study the effect of different land uses and its changes during the years 1992-2012 on the surface runoff in a part of Qhareh-su, Ardabil watershed. At first, the maps of land use and curve number in the mentioned years were gathered and the area of each of the units was extracted. In the following, the process of land-use changes in the cases of the study period and its effect on changing the specific retention (S) and curve number were calculated and the height of runoff was estimated using the SCS method. 3-Results The results showed that during the case of the study period, area of forest, water farming, and wasteland land uses were decreased by 2.54%, 16.69%, and 1.19% respectively and the area of the rangeland, dry farming, and urban land uses were increased by 5.74%, 12.39%, 2.29% respectively. These changes have caused the increase of curve number from 78.57 to 79.77 in the years 1992 and 2012, respectively and following the decrease of the specific retention (S) from 69.28 mm in the year 1992 to 64.42 mm in the year 2012. Also, runoff height has increased from 263.4 mm in the year 1992 to 297.07 mm in the year 2012 (11.33%). Calculation of correlation coefficient between different land uses and curve number and runoff height showed that these variables have a direct relationship with rangeland, dry farming, and urban land uses while they have an inverse relationship with the forest, water farming, and wasteland. 4-Discussion and conclusion In the present study, the results of the study showed that land-use change due to its effect on the curve number of the studied basin causes a change in the surface runoff. During this 20-year period, land use has changed and this land-use change has tended to decrease from 1992 to 2012 land use including residential, pasture and dryland areas increased by 2.29%, 12.39% and 5.74% respectively, as well as forest, water and wastewater land use decreased by 2.54%, 16.69% and 1.19%, respectively. As a result, its curve number has increased, followed by a runoff height of 11.33%. This shows that in a natural ecosystem, land use and environmental changes, especially vegetation and land use affect the hydrological responses such as flooding and erosion and sedimentation rate in the area. Ultimately, it will cause severe economic and social damages. Changes in the total volume of runoff and changes in hydrological balance are the most important effects of land-use change on watershed hydrology.
Naser Ahmadi Sani; Karim Solaimani; Lida Razaghnia; Raoof Mostafazadeh; Jalal Zandi
Volume 5, Issue 16 , December 2018, , Pages 139-158
Abstract
Abstract Introduction Due to population growth and human activities and increasing water demand, water availability will be critical and water resource assessment and planning for sustainable use become more complex. The dynamic and long-term laws of runoff are important and have practical value for ...
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Abstract Introduction Due to population growth and human activities and increasing water demand, water availability will be critical and water resource assessment and planning for sustainable use become more complex. The dynamic and long-term laws of runoff are important and have practical value for the sustainable development and planning of water resources. On the other hand, the traditional methods of runoff estimation should be improved regarding the accuracy and spatial variations. The application of GIS extensions is needed to provide water resource assessment data. Therefore, the application of such new techniques has greatly increased in recent years to estimate the runoff characteristics. The SCS method is the most commonly used method for estimating surface runoff, whose accuracy has improved through employing advanced GIS-based tools. The applicability of Arc-CN Runoff tool was tested in different internal and external studies which emphasized the quantitative evaluation of the model results. Methodology In this study, the accuracy of runoff estimation by Arc-CN Runoff tool was evaluated based on the land use map in two different time periods (1996-2011). The Landsat satellite images of 1996 and 2011 were processed and analyzed for land use mapping. Map of soil hydrologic groups was prepared in GIS environment using slope and soil texture maps. The annual rainfall calculations were done using rainfall daily data of several years for stations within the basin. The curve number map was used to estimate runoff using SCS method within ArcCN-Runoff tool in GIS environment. The runoff observations of Karehsang Station were calculated using daily flow data and the base flow was separated. Finally, the accuracy of the estimated runoff was assessed by estimating the percent relative error. Results and Discussion According to the accuracy assessment of land use maps using the ground-based map, the best overall accuracy and kappa coefficient were respectively 90% and 88%. The results showed that the maximum likelihood algorithm and the combination of main and synthetic bands, classified the land use classes of the study area with an acceptable accuracy. The highest percentage of the area was classified as range and dry farming (62.74%) in 2011. The percentage of rangeland, dense forest, and water zones decreased in 2011 compared with 1996.The map of the hydrological groups shown in this study, consisted of groups B, C and D, respectively covering 15.5, 44.5 and 40% of the study area. The average CN in the years 1996 and 2011 was estimated to be around 79.6 and 81.6. The average estimated rainfall of the study area using the arithmetic mean, inverse distance weighting, and kriging methods in 1996 were respectively 486.24, 424.4 and 486.1 mm. The estimated annual rainfall values were equal to 521.5 (arithmetic mean), 514.6 (inverse distance weighting) and 521.5 (kriging) mm. Runoff height was the highest in bare lands and residential uses, and the minimum of runoff height values were estimated in good and medium rangelands. Conclusion The mean values of total runoff, base flow, and surface runoff have increased in 2011 compared to 1996. The highest CN values in both periods consisted of bare lands and residential area. The runoff height in different land uses and the total runoff height increased in 2011 (11.38 mm) compared to 1996 (8.8 mm), which can be partly due to the degradation and land use change. The results of this study showed that the ArcCN-Runoff tool improved the accuracy of potential runoff estimations, while the relative error of runoff estimation in both periods was relatively low and acceptable. Thus, the implemented tool can be used to assess and estimate runoff height. The results showed that the relative error of runoff estimation in both periods was in agreement and the error amount was relatively low (10%). In addition, the used methods and tools were evaluated with 90% accuracy in both periods and can be used for runoff estimation in data-scarce watersheds.
Ata Ghafari Gilandeh; Behrooz Sobhani; Elnaz Ostadi Babakandi
Volume 3, Issue 9 , March 2017, , Pages 159-175
Abstract
Flooding is a major natural disaster. This phenomenon becomes more important when it is occurring especially in the city. Therefore, prevention of the communities from the impacts is inevitable. The high level of awareness of potential runoff area for flood management is important. Given this importance, ...
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Flooding is a major natural disaster. This phenomenon becomes more important when it is occurring especially in the city. Therefore, prevention of the communities from the impacts is inevitable. The high level of awareness of potential runoff area for flood management is important. Given this importance, this paper deals with the calculation of runoff with SCS method in Meshkinshahr city and its surrounding area, For this purpose, we used GIS software and the accession of the ARC-HYDRO, especially Arc-CN-RUNOFF software. Finally, the layers of soil hydrologic group, the integration of land use and rainfall averages were compared with the index table, then the resulting map was obtained. Curve number Map (CN), which was proportional to the permeability of the 20 classes. Curve No (32) for areas with high permeability and low runoff and curve number is high (98) for areas with low permeability and high runoff. Dimensional map of the height map is runoff from zero to areas with very high permeability and high runoff starts 99/0, including the use of low permeability to continue. Check the map showed that both CN and RUN-OFF lot to do with the type of the user, so that the use of man-made and synthetic runoff curve number and height are more.
Volume 1, Issue 1 , January 2015, , Pages 41-57
Abstract
Landuse and land cover changes have direct effect on hydrological regime of basin.Iincreasing bare lands and similar landuses make flooding and increasing of orghard landuse area has effective role on reduce of runoff discharge. In this study using of soil hydrolic group map that indicat sensitive lands, ...
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Landuse and land cover changes have direct effect on hydrological regime of basin.Iincreasing bare lands and similar landuses make flooding and increasing of orghard landuse area has effective role on reduce of runoff discharge. In this study using of soil hydrolic group map that indicat sensitive lands, and landuse map of 1987, 2000, and 2013 periodes curve number (CN) map of study area was extracted and then using of this map amunt of soil water retention was calculated and finally the rate of runoff from simulated 100 mm rainfall was estimated bye SCS model. The results indicate an increase in runoff or in other words, inceasing flooding rate of basin because of landuse and land cover changes. According to existence of the relationship between rainfall and runoff discharge at specified intervals, landuse change to orchard development as one of the effective factors on decrease of runoff rate was studied,then after of separation of base flow and flow from snowmelt of the entire flow using MODIS satellite images processing, the residual flow was considered as the discharge of rainfall. the result of analysis of covariance indicated that increasing of orchard area reduce the relationship between rainfall and discharge from it.
